New Loan and A Sign Of The Times

As I mentioned last week, I had two loans get paid off recently. A third loan, hard money loan #8, was just paid off yesterday. This loan was somewhat unusual in that it was actually carried to the full 1 year term. I don't have any information on if the property sold or if the borrower just refinanced to pay us off and he still is working on or trying to sell the place.

So, with the exception of one loan through my self-directed IRA, my money is all just sitting around and not earning any interest right now. Or I should say, was just sitting around. Just got details of a new offer yesterday that I will invest roughly a third of my funds in. The borrower is a referral to my partner from a mutual friend. The guy knows what he is doing and rehabs houses for a living. He is also a member of CCIM, an institute of commercial and investment real estate professionals. The property is a single family home in Oakland, California that was purchased at a foreclosure auction. The property was purchased for about $265,000 and our mortgage will be for $198,000, giving us a LTV of 75%, based on the purchase price. The current value is approximately $323,000, so the LTV with that figure is about 61%. Loan is standard terms, with a slightly lower interest rate: 9%, interest only, 1 year term. I'll call this one hard money loan #14.Here's a picture of the property:

Not too pretty, but that's what foreclosure investing is all about.


I'm starting to see many indications that the real estate market is turning around. First, obviously, are the three loans I had close in two weeks. Those were sales in California. But even closer to my home here in the Phoenix area, I am seeing signs of a turnaround - literally. I passed this sign on the way home yesterday:

Note the "We're back!" line. This particular tract has been sitting vacant for two years. This sign was taken down two years ago and has just now been put back up. (The "immediate move-in" is something of a lie as there are no houses built yet.) On other empty lots around town, I am starting to see signs advertising new stores that will be built and should be open in a year or less. Perhaps the worst of the real estate mess is behind us now.

Two Loans Closing This Week

Hard money loan #12 is closing today. This one only lasted two months. That’s the shortest loan I’ve made in a while, possibly ever. The borrower almost got a discount for paying it off so quickly. The standard loan note my partner uses generally provides incentives for early payoff if made within 30 days of funding or 60 days of funding. The 60 day cutoff was June 5, so the borrower missed getting a $3,560 discount by 3 days.

Hard money loan #11 is still scheduled to close on Friday.

Got my first check from hard money loan #13 today. This is the one that I’m using my self-directed IRA for. I must say, I’m pretty happy. That one payment is already more than my traditional IRA that is invested in the stock market has made this year. Of course, I still need to recoup the costs of setting up the self-directed IRA, so technically, I’m still in the hole on this one. But getting a check each month feels a lot better than helplessly watching the stock market gyrate.

Loans Closing and Things Looking Up

It looks like hard money loan #11 is scheduled to close next Friday, the 11th. All in all, my partner says the California area where we have our hard money loans seems to be a seller’s market right now. We’ve currently got four properties in escrow. A couple buyers backed out, but new buyers were quick to appear. I expect to have my other loans paid off soon.

In multi-tenant property news, I received a nice detailed state of the market analysis from one of the principles involved in my Houston apartment deal. He lives in Arizona and his report is about the Phoenix area. For background, he talks about the factors that all conspired to get  us where we are today. Of course, the housing bubble hit the apartment arena as well as single family homes and people were buying apartments based on wildly optimistic pro forma numbers. But then the market softened and the large numbers of single family homes started hurting the apartment market. Many of these SFHs were put up for rent or left for foreclosure. Then the home buyers tax credit kicked in and many renters stopped renting and took advantage of the tax credit and glut of SFHs to become home owners.  But things are looking up now. Jobs are starting to come back and layoffs have slowed. Local businesses, such as restaurants and home improvement stores, are seeing business pick up. It looks like the apartment sector is starting to make a comeback. This person had stopped buying properties in the Phoenix area in 2005, when valuations were sky high. He now feels it might be time to start buying again.

April Apartment Complex Report

Time for another Houston apartment update! This report is much nicer than the last one. Occupancy has increased to 93% from 90% in January. This is a very nice improvement over the declining values we were seeing the last couple of months. As occupancy rose, so too did revenue – a $10,000 increase in April over March. Management expects another $5,000 increase in revenue in May. Rent concessions are down about $2,000 from March, but still at a fairly high $20,000 (!). Hopefully, as occupancy increases and the economy improves, this number will continue to decrease. As a comparison, the budgeted amount for concessions is $5,000 per month.

The good news of increasing revenue was counter-balanced somewhat by some not so good news. Our monthly real estate tax escrow amount increased by almost $9,000 per month. This was partially offset by a decrease in insurance escrow of about $6,500 per month. (The new insurance cost is about half of the old cost.) The silver lining is that the property’s assessed value declined by 5.5% in 2010, so the real estate tax escrow next year will go down again.

Expenses increased a bit. The quarterly unit inspections took place and resulted in an increase in the Repairs and Maintenance category. Some capital expenses also took place - one of the central water heaters failed and had to be replaced.

Overall, the property still lost money in April – about $17,000. Hopefully, the property will return to profitability soon!

Loan Calculations

I seem to be in a financial clean up mode lately. First, I started converting all my paper bills and documentation to electronic form. Now, I’m taking on our debt. I pay off our credit cards in full each month, so typically the only debt I have is my home mortgage. But, last month, we bought two new cars. Prior to that, we had been car-payment free for several years. In all honesty, the idea of having two car payments makes me a little uncomfortable. That’s $900 a month of expenses I didn’t use to have that I now do. I’d love to go back to not having any car payments.

We recently got our tax refund – almost $10,000. Normally it’s never that big, as I don’t believe in giving Uncle Sam an interest free loan, but I spent most of last year working as a self-employed, independent contractor so I was able to take advantage of some nice deductions, the biggest of which I think was my mileage deduction for commuting. I’ve got a 66 mile round trip commute, so that really adds up over a whole year. My first thought was to put the refund towards my car loan. This loan amortization calculator is really nice in that it gives you options to add a couple different types of extra payments to the mix and show you how they will affect the loan. By applying my tax refund to the loan, I will shorten the length of the loan by almost two years (it’s a 5 year loan) and I’ll save about $1,500 in interest charges. Nice.

Then I went to lunch and another thought struck me while eating. I had just made a hard money investment that was earning 10%. I had some additional money saved up in a bank savings account. Maybe I could combine my savings with my tax refund and invest that and then use the income from that to pay my car loan. That’s the basic tenant of passive income – have your money work and make your payments for you. I did some calculations and discovered that, in order for investment income at 10% to cover my car payment, I’d need to invest close to $55,000. That’s a bit more than I have available, so this option is out. (Although my car loan is at 4.25% and I could invest at 10%, I’d need to invest a lump sum of more than twice my loan balance to cover the loan payment because my loan payment includes amortized principle repayments, whereas my passive income would be interest only payments.)

Back to the original plan. Paying off my car loan two years early is nice. It still means I’d have a car payment (two actually, since my wife has a new car too) for at least three years. I just couldn’t really get too excited about this.

Then I started looking at our budget. I’ve been using this great iPhone app called iReconcile for a couple of months now and I’ve also been meticulously categorizing each expense I have. The result is that I have a couple months worth of actual expense data I can look at and report on. I ran through our budget numbers and saw we’ve still got a decent cushion in our income, so I should have no problems sending extra money towards our car payments. Then another thought struck me. We are currently budgeting 15% of our income towards savings. Been doing that for years. We’ve got a nice size emergency fund built up now that should be able to cover us for several months should either my wife or I lose our job. What if, in addition to putting my tax refund towards the loan, I also redirect that 15% from savings towards my car payment? Using that nice amortization calculator again, I saw I could have my car paid off in 11 months!! And I’d save over $2,300 in interest!! Wow! And after my car was paid off, I’d switch to sending that money towards my wife’s car loan in addition to her regular payment and her loan would be paid off in the following year! Awesome!! And, carrying this further, I figure that after two years of doing this, I’d be well-versed in making due without the money I had been sending to the loans, so I’ll keep sending the money off – to my savings account this time. I figure I’ll be saving close to $2,000 a month. After doing that for a while, I should have a nice chunk of change to invest in hard money lending at 10% (hopefully the return will be back to the more normal 12% by then). I’ll build that nest egg up so the next time we need to buy cars, we will be able to use our passive income to pay for them!

There is a drawback to this plan – I will not be putting any money towards savings for two years. As I mentioned earlier, I’ve already got a several month cushion built up, so I’m comfortable with that. Furthermore, the extra loan payments are voluntary. If I suddenly run into a situation where I need to start saving again, I can just stop sending the extra payments in to the loan. Lastly, my wife works for Arizona State University. Due to state budget cuts, there is a good chance that if the one cent sales tax increase that will be voted on next week does not pass, she will lose her job due to the Draconian cuts that will have to be made in education spending at all levels. The general consensus is the tax will pass, but I think I’ll wait a couple days to make sure before I start sending any money anywhere.

This isn’t probably exciting for many readers, but it is for me. I feel like I am *that close* towards finally having enough passive income to pay for something big. This is a goal I’ve been striving towards since I started this blog almost 6 years ago. I also am starting to see and feel the “snowball effect” of saving and investing. It takes a long time to get a good chunk of money saved to generate any kind of significant passive income, but once you get there, things just start growing faster and faster.